Friday, May 13, 2022

Getting Ready for the Hurricane Season

 

Ocean City, Maryland (Photo Credit: Ashley Adams)

The Atlantic hurricane season officially gets underway on June 1.  That means April and May are the ideal time to make the necessary preparations should you live in an at-risk area.  Areas of the United States that are at risk include anywhere along the coastline from Texas all the way to Florida and up the east coast.

It’s important to remember that areas well inland can also see significant impacts of tropical systems.  Hurricane Ivan made landfall along the U.S. Gulf Coast in September 2004 and its remnants brought heavy rain and severe weather (including tornadoes) to the Mid-Atlantic Region.  More recently, Hurricane Florence in September 2018 brought significant flooding to not just the Carolinas but inland areas such as Tennessee, West Virginia and Virginia. 

Hurricanes Ivan and Florence were intense Category 5 and Category 4 storms, respectively, over the open ocean.  Both weakened considerably before they made landfall.  That underscores how a hurricane doesn’t have to be an intense storm to have significant impacts once it makes landfall.  

A system doesn’t have to be a hurricane to have significant inland impacts.  One of the costliest storms in U.S. history was Tropical Storm Allison, the first named storm of the 2001 Atlantic hurricane season.  It was officially named by the National Hurricane Center on June 4 and made landfall in Texas shortly thereafter.  A slow-moving system, Allison caused severe flooding in Texas and Louisiana, as well as areas east and north of there.  Houston, Texas was especially hard-hit. 

It wasn’t until Hurricane Harvey in 2017 that many of the Texas flooding records associated with Allison were broken.  However, Allison was rare for being such a high impact system so early in the season.  It remains the first of only two tropical storms to have its names retired by the World Meteorological Organization for being destructive and/or deadly (plus Erika, 2015).  That illustrates how a tropical system doesn’t need to be a hurricane to have major impacts. 

The majority of systems that develop early in the season are weaker than those that develop later.  There is a smaller geographic area that has favorable environmental conditions for tropical storm formation earlier in the season (e.g. warm ocean water of at least 80° Fahrenheit to a depth of at least 200’, a lack of wind shear or winds that change direction with height) compared to later in the season.  That’s why June and July don’t see as much tropical activity as August and September when conditions are more favorable.

However, the climatologically favored areas for tropical storm formation early in the season are closer to the United States than later in the season.  Most early season storms that develop are in the Gulf of Mexico or in the Caribbean Sea.  Since they develop closer to land there is the increased potential of land impacts in the United States, despite the early season storms not being as strong.  How to make advance preparations will be explored in an upcoming blog post.  The first named “Atlantic” storm of 2022 will be Alex.


 

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