Frigid February weather

 

Cold in suburban Washington, D.C.

Although not as cold as Midwestern cities like Chicago or Minneapolis, the nation’s capital has also experienced significant February cold over the last 20 years. Given the unusual cold so far this winter, some may wonder how cold February can be. Here are some memorable stretches of February cold DC has seen.

2016: Temperatures remained below freezing on five consecutive days from February 11 – February 15. With an average high of 29.2°, the coldest day was February 14 with a high/low temperature of 26°/13°, well below the daily average of 48°/32°. Although this cold stretch occurred less than a month after the record “Blizzard of 2016,” no significant snowfall accompanied this frigid weather in the DMV (DC, Maryland and Virginia).

2015: This February was DC’s coldest since 1979 with an average monthly temperature (combining daily high/low temperatures) nearly 10° below average. The coldest weather of the month occurred during a nine-day stretch from February 13 – February 21 when high temperatures remained below freezing on all but two days, according to the National Weather Service.

DC’s low temperature of 5° on February 20 was not only a record low for the date, but was the first February record low in the nation’s capital since 1970. DC’s average high/low temperatures over this nine-day period were 27.7°/13.0°, compared to average daily high/low temperatures for this period from 48°/31° on February 13 to 50°/33° on February 21. Parts of the DMV saw below 0° temperatures during this unusually cold month such as -4° at Dulles Airport on February 24.

2010: The six-day period of February 5 – February 10 was significant not only for being cold, but it also featured two record-setting snowfall events. “Snowmageddon” occurred on February 5-6 with 17.8” at National Airport. Another 10.8” of snow fell on February 9-10. DC’s warmest temperature during these six days was 37° on February 5, with highs remaining at or below freezing on three other days.

2007: DC’s coldest stretch of weather during the entire 2006-2007 winter season was over a six-day period in February. DC’s warmest temperature from February 4 – February 9 was 34°, according to the National Weather Service. The average high/low temperatures during this time were 29.2°/15.5° in the nation’s capital. The coldest day was February 5 with a high/low of 22°/13°.  February 2007 also saw five days with lows in the single digits at Dulles Airport.

Happy Groundhog Day

 

NOAA's February temperature outlook

January 2026 was a frigid month in the nation’s capital and finished more than 4° colder than average. Fortunately, high temperatures today are well-positioned to climb above freezing for the first time since January 23. That would bring an end to DC’s stretch of nine consecutive days at or below freezing, the longest such stretch in the nation’s capital since 1989, according to the National Weather Service.

February is the third and final month of “meteorological” winter. February is DC’s snowiest month of the year, on average, with 5.0”. Six of DC’s 10 largest snow events have occurred in February with the most recent being “Snowmageddon” in February 2010. However, February’s have not been particularly snowy for Washingtonians in recent years. For example, last February finished as DC’s first snowier than average February since 2015.

February is also the driest month of the year in Washington, D.C. with a monthly rainfall average of only 2.62”. That’s not good news for the DMV (DC, Maryland and Virginia) which has experienced below average rainfall in eight of the last 12 months. Consequently, moderate to severe drought conditions have developed across the entire DMV.

According to National Weather Service data, DC’s average daily high/low temperatures range from 46°/30° on February 1 to 52°/34° on February 28. Eight of the last nine February’s were warmer than average in the nation’s capital. DC’s coldest February temperature occurred on February 11, 1889 (-15°). By comparison, DC’s warmest overall February temperature was 84° (February 25, 1930).

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center expects this February to feature colder than average temperatures with an equal chance for above or below normal precipitation in the nation's capital. However, even with a drier than average pattern, the right ingredients need to come together only once to produce a significant winter storm. Meanwhile, average daily temperatures and the amount of daylight both increase as the month of February wears on.

January comes to a frigid conclusion

 

A frigid morning in Bethesda, Maryland

This month will finish as DC’s coldest January in over a decade. January 2026 has also been a snowier and wetter than average month in the nation’s capital.

January will finish with 7” of snow, making this DC’s third consecutive snowier than average (4.9”) January. This is the first time DC has experienced three consecutive snowier than average January’s since 1964-1966. To add to that, this month will finish with 3.16” of rain (including liquid equivalent of melted snowfall) making it a wetter than average (2.86”), January as well.

Temperatures over the first half of the month were generally warmer than average with nine of the first 15 days above average. However, there was a hard pivot to colder than average temperatures. Only two warmer than average days occurred between January 16 and January 31. DC’s average monthly temperature of 33.9° through January 30 will make this the coldest January since 2014 (32.2°).

January’s two signature weather events were the epic winter storm that occurred on January 25 and the extended stretch of subfreezing temperatures afterwards. The 1.99” of liquid precipitation on January 25 made for DC’s wettest day in more than two years.  Not since January 9, 2024 had Washingtonians experienced a wetter day (2.24”). The majority of this month’s snowfall also occurred on January 25 with 6.9” at National Airport.

Temperatures have remained below freezing in the nation’s capital since January 24. Today is the eighth consecutive day of subfreezing temperatures, the longest such streak since December 1989 (10 days). Temperatures aren’t expected to climb above 32° until February 2.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center expects the colder than average temperatures to continue through the first half of February across much of the eastern United States.